Handicapping NASCAR’s Championship Four at Homestead-Miami Speedway

Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano will race to the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway (Green flag: 3:03 p.m. ET, NBC).

In accordance with betting odds from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, Busch and Harvick will be the favorites in +200, followed by Truex (+275) and Logano (+450).
Using historical benefits and 2018 loop information, we handicap the race and also give a championship gambling pick.
Following 35 races, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano have made the right to battle for the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) championship Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway.

Busch (2015),» Harvick (2014) and Truex (2017) have all notched one championship in their own professions, while Logano is trying to secure his first.

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It is not surprise to visit Busch, Harvick and Truex still living, as»The Big Three» combined to win 20 of the 35 regular-season races this season. Logano scored two wins himself, but awakened 25 top-10 finishes to earn his shot.

Employing historical loop data from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com, let us break down the contenders to ascertain the best bet to win the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship.

The Track
Even though Homestead-Miami joins a handful of other MENCS monitors at 1.5 miles in length, there actually are not any others on the circuit like it.

Homestead delivers banking, which enables many lines to conduct .

The track surface is also quite abrasive, and which wears out tires and makes rubber a massive advantage.

With tire wear making cars hard to drive and innovative banking allowing drivers to choose unique lines, passing is simpler here than most other 1.5-mile tracks which are overly reliant upon aero for speed and so create follow-the-leader racing.

For the analysis below, I chose to analyze the four races at Hometead-Miami Speedway.

Applying four races might appear a bit arbitrary, but I chose on that number . First, 2014 was the very first year that NASCAR went to the playoff format where drivers advance through the sport’s playoff until four stay to race to the title at Homestead.

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